Pneumococcal serotypes and risk factors in adult community-acquired pneumonia 2018-20; a multicentre UK cohort study.

Background: Higher-valency pneumococcal vaccines are anticipated. We aimed to describe serotype distribution and risk factors for vaccine-serotype community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in the two years pre-SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study of adults hospitalised with CAP at three UK sites between 2018 and 2020. Pneumococcal serotypes were identified using a 24-valent urinary-antigen assay and blood cultures. Risk factors associated with vaccine-type pneumonia caused by serotypes in the 13-, 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV13, PCV15, PCV20) and 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) were determined from multivariable analysis. Findings: Of 1921 adults hospitalised with CAP, 781 (40.7%, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 38.5-42.9%) had pneumococcal pneumonia. A single PCV13-serotype was detected in 242 (31.0%, 95% CI 27.8-34.3%) pneumococcal CAP patients, mostly serotype 3 (171/242, 70.7%, 95% CI 64.5-76.0%). The additional two PCV15-serotypes were detected in 31 patients (4%, 95% CI 2.8-5.6%), and PCV20-non13-serotypes in 192 (24.6%), with serotype 8 most prevalent (123/192, 64.1%, 95% CI 57.1-70.5%). Compared to PCV13-serotype CAP, people with PCV20-non13 CAP were younger (median age 62 versus 72 years, p < 0.001) and less likely to be male (44% versus 61%, p = 0.01). PPV23-non13-serotypes were found in 252 (32.3%, 95% CI 29.1-35.6%) pneumococcal CAP patients. Interpretation: Despite mature infant pneumococcal programmes, the burden of PCV13-serotype pneumonia remains high in older adults, mainly due to serotype 3. PCV20-non13-serotype pneumonia is more likely in younger people with fewer pneumococcal risk factors. Funding: Unrestricted investigator-initiated research grant from Pfizer, United Kingdom; support from National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham.

The feasibility and tolerability of using inspiratory muscle training with adults discharged from the hospital with community-acquired pneumonia.

INTRODUCTION: Patients experience substantial morbidity following discharge from hospital and during recovery from communi-ty-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Inspiratory muscle training (IMT) has demonstrated improved functional capacity and reduced patient-reported symptoms. To date the safety and tolerability of these methods have not been determined in CAP patients recovering following hospitalization. Accordingly, this study aimed to assess the safety and tolerability of IMT in adults discharged from hospital with CAP. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Participants received an IMT device (POWERbreathe KHP2) and completed 9-weeks IMT training with weekly follow-up. Frequency (twice daily) and load (50% PImax) were fixed throughout, but training volume increased incrementally (2-week habituation phase, 7-week training phase). Primary outcomes of interest included IMT safety and tolerability. RESULTS: Twenty-two participants were recruited; 16 were male, mean age 55.2 years (range 27.9-77.3). From 1183 possible training days, side effects were reported on 15 occasions by 10 individual participants. All reported side-effects were assessed as grade 1 and did not prevent further training. Participant-reported IMT acceptability was 99.4%. CONCLUSION: Inspiratory muscle training is safe and tolerable in patients following hospitalisation for CAP. Patient satisfaction with IMT is high and it is viewed by patients as being helpful in their recovery. Distinguishing CAP-related symptoms and device-related side effects is challenging. Symptom prevalence declined during follow-up with concurrent improvements in spirometry observed. Further research is required to determine the efficacy of IMT interventions following CAP and other acute respiratory infections.

The need for exercise sciences and an integrated response to COVID-19: A position statement from the international HL-PIVOT network.

COVID-19 is one of the biggest health crises that the world has seen. Whilst measures to abate transmission and infection are ongoing, there continues to be growing numbers of patients requiring chronic support, which is already putting a strain on health care systems around the world and which may do so for years to come. A legacy of COVID-19 will be a long-term requirement to support patients with dedicated rehabilitation and support services. With many clinical settings characterized by a lack of funding and resources, the need to provide these additional services could overwhelm clinical capacity. This position statement from the Healthy Living for Pandemic Event Protection (HL-PIVOT) Network provides a collaborative blueprint focused on leading research and developing clinical guidelines, bringing together professionals with expertise in clinical services and the exercise sciences to develop the evidence base needed to improve outcomes for patients infected by COVID-19.

Prospective validation of the RAPID clinical risk prediction score in adult patients with pleural infection: the PILOT study.

BACKGROUND: Over 30% of adult patients with pleural infection either die and/or require surgery. There is no robust means of predicting at baseline presentation which patients will suffer a poor clinical outcome. A validated risk prediction score would allow early identification of high-risk patients, potentially directing more aggressive treatment thereafter. OBJECTIVES: To prospectively assess a previously described risk score (the RAPID (Renal (urea), Age, fluid Purulence, Infection source, Dietary (albumin)) score) in adults with pleural infection. METHODS: Prospective observational cohort study that recruited patients undergoing treatment for pleural infection. RAPID score and risk category were calculated at baseline presentation. The primary outcome was mortality at 3 months; secondary outcomes were mortality at 12 months, length of hospital stay, need for thoracic surgery, failure of medical treatment and lung function at 3 months. RESULTS: Mortality data were available in 542 out of 546 patients recruited (99.3%). Overall mortality was 10% at 3 months (54 out of 542) and 19% at 12 months (102 out of 542). The RAPID risk category predicted mortality at 3 months. Low-risk mortality (RAPID score 0-2): five out of 222 (2.3%, 95% CI 0.9 to 5.7%); medium-risk mortality (RAPID score 3-4): 21 out of 228 (9.2%, 95% CI 6.0 to 13.7%); and high-risk mortality (RAPID score 5-7): 27 out of 92 (29.3%, 95% CI 21.0 to 39.2%). C-statistics for the scores at 3 months and 12 months were 0.78 (95% CI 0.71-0.83) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.72-0.82), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The RAPID score stratifies adults with pleural infection according to increasing risk of mortality and should inform future research directed at improving outcomes in this patient population.

Pneumococcal serotype trends, surveillance and risk factors in UK adult pneumonia, 2013-18.

BACKGROUND: Changes over the last 5 years (2013-18) in the serotypes implicated in adult pneumococcal pneumonia and the patient groups associated with vaccine-type disease are largely unknown. METHODS: We conducted a population-based prospective cohort study of adults admitted to two large university hospitals with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) between September 2013 and August 2018. Pneumococcal serotypes were identified using a novel 24-valent urinary monoclonal antibody assay and from blood cultures. Trends in incidence rates were compared against national invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) data. Persons at risk of vaccine-type pneumonia (pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV)13 and pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV)23) were determined from multivariate analyses. FINDINGS: Of 2934 adults hospitalised with CAP, 1075 (36.6%) had pneumococcal pneumonia. The annual incidence of pneumococcal pneumonia increased from 32.2 to 48.2 per 100 000 population (2013-18), predominantly due to increases in PCV13non7-serotype and non-vaccine type (NVT)-serotype pneumonia (annual incidence rate ratio 1.12, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.21 and 1.19, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.28, respectively). Incidence trends were broadly similar to IPD data. PCV13non7 (56.9% serotype 3) and PPV23non13 (44.1% serotype 8) serotypes were identified in 349 (32.5%) and 431 (40.1%) patients with pneumococcal pneumonia, respectively. PCV13-serotype pneumonia (dominated by serotype 3) was more likely in patients in the UK pneumococcal vaccination clinical risk group (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.73, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.28) while PPV23-serotype pneumonia was more likely in patients outside the clinical risk group (aOR 1.54, 95% CI 1.13 to 2.10). INTERPRETATION: The incidence of pneumococcal CAP is increasing, predominantly due to NVT serotypes and serotype 3. PPV23-serotype pneumonia is more likely in adults outside currently identified clinical risk groups.

Healthcare reconsultation in working-age adults following hospitalisation for community-acquired pneumonia.

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is associated with prolonged symptom persistence during recovery. However, the effect of the residual symptom load on healthcare utilisation is unknown. The aim of this study was to quantify healthcare reconsultation within 28 days of hospital discharge for an index episode of CAP, and explore reasons for these reconsultations. Adults of working age admitted to any of four hospitals in the UK, with a primary diagnosis of CAP, were prospectively studied. Of 108 patients, 71 (65.7%) reconsulted healthcare services within 28 days of discharge; of these, 90.1% consulted their GP. Men were less likely to reconsult than women (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.34, 95% confidence interval 0.13-0.91, p=0.032). Persistence of respiratory symptoms accounted for the majority of these reconsultations. Healthcare utilisation is high in working-age adults after an episode of hospitalised CAP and, in most cases, is due to failure to resolve index symptoms.

13-Valent vaccine serotype pneumococcal community acquired pneumonia in adults in high clinical risk groups.

There is debate regarding the value of vaccinating adults with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV-13). This analysis was conducted to investigate the risk of PCV-13 serotype community acquired pneumonia (CAP) in hospitalised adults with co-morbid disease and risk factors for pneumococcal disease in the UK. Consecutive adults hospitalised (2008-2013) with a primary diagnosis of CAP, were recruited. Pneumococcal aetiology disease was identified by use of pneumococcal urinary antigen detection and serotype identification using a validated multiplex immunoassay or serum latex agglutination. Adults with PCV-13 serotype CAP were compared to those with non-PCV-13 serotype CAP. Of 2224 patients, PCV-13 serotype CAP was identified in 337 (15.2%) and non-PCV-13 serotype CAP in 250 (11.2%) individuals. Adults aged ≥65 years with one or more clinical risk factors had a significantly lower risk of PCV-13 serotype CAP compared to those aged 16-64 years without clinical risk factors (aOR 0.61, 95%CI 0.41-0.92, p = .018). In a stacked-risk analysis, the presence of incremental clinical risk factors was associated with lower odds of PCV-13 disease (p for trend = .029) Adults with underlying chronic respiratory disease (aOR) 0.56, 95% CI 0.36-0.85, p = .007) and chronic kidney disease (aOR 0.48, 95% CI 0.25-0.92, p = .028) had significantly lower adjusted odds of PCV-13 compared to non-PCV-13 serotype CAP. This analysis suggests that in the UK, the burden of PCV13 disease is greater in adults outside the traditional 'at-risk' groups compared to adults in 'at-risk' groups.

Improving readiness for recruitment through simulated trial activation: the Adjuvant Steroids in Adults with Pandemic influenza (ASAP) trial.

BACKGROUND: Research in public health emergencies requires trials to be set up in readiness for activation at short notice and in anticipation of limited timelines for patient recruitment. We conducted a simulated activation of a hibernating pandemic influenza clinical trial in order to test trial processes and to determine the value of such simulation in maintaining trial readiness. METHODS: The simulation involved the Nottingham Clinical Trials Unit, one participating hospital, one manufacturing unit and the Investigational Medicinal Product (IMP) supplier. During the exercise, from 15 September 2015 to 2 December 2015, clinical staff at the participating site completed the trial training package, a volunteer acting as a patient was recruited to the study, 'dummy' IMP was prescribed and follow-up completed. RESULTS: Successful activation of the hibernating trial with patient recruitment within 4 weeks of 'arousal' as planned was demonstrated. A need for greater resilience in anticipation of staff absenteeism was identified, particularly in relation to key trial procedures where the potential for delay is high. A specific issue relating to the IMP Stock Control System was highlighted as a potential source of error that could compromise the randomisation sequence. The simulation exercise was well received by site investigators and increased their confidence in being able to meet the likely demands of the trial when activated. The estimated cost of the exercise was £1995; 90% of this being staff costs. CONCLUSIONS: Simulated activation is useful as a means to test, and prepare for, the rapid activation of 'hibernating' research studies. Whether simulation exercises can also help reduce waste in complex clinical trial research deserves further exploration. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT Number 2013-001051-12, ISRCTN72331452 . Registered on 6 March 2013.

Increased incidence of adult pneumococcal pneumonia during school holiday periods.

Child contact is a recognised risk factor for adult pneumococcal disease. Peaks in invasive pneumococcal disease incidence observed during winter holidays may be related to changes in social dynamics. This analysis was conducted to examine adult pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) incidence during school holiday periods. Between September 2008 and 2013, consecutive adults admitted to hospitals covering the Greater Nottingham area with a diagnosis of CAP were studied. Pneumococcal pneumonia was detected using culture and antigen detection methods. Of 2221 adults studied, 575 (25.9%) were admitted during school holidays and 643 (29.0%) had pneumococcal CAP. CAP of pneumococcal aetiology was significantly more likely in adults admitted during school holidays compared to term time (35.3% versus 26.7%; adjusted OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.11-1.72, p=0.004). Over the 5-year period, the age-adjusted incidence of hospitalised pneumococcal CAP was higher during school holidays compared to term time (incident rate ratio 1.35, 95% CI 1.14-1.60, p<0.001); there was no difference in rates of all-cause CAP or non-pneumococcal CAP. Reported child contact was higher in individuals with pneumococcal CAP admitted during school holidays compared to term time (42.0% versus 33.7%, OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.00-2.03, p=0.046). Further study of transmission dynamics in relation to these findings and to identify appropriate intervention strategies is warranted.

Adults miscoded and misdiagnosed as having pneumonia: results from the British Thoracic Society pneumonia audit.

A key objective of the British Thoracic Society national community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) audit was to determine the clinical characteristics and outcomes of hospitalised adults given a primary discharge code of pneumonia but who did not fulfil accepted diagnostic criteria for pneumonia. Adults miscoded as having pneumonia (n=1251) were older compared with adults with CAP (n=6660) (median 80 vs 78 years, p<0.001) and had more comorbid disease, significantly fewer respiratory symptoms (fever, cough, dyspnoea, pleuritic pain), more constitutional symptoms (general deterioration, falls) and significantly lower 30-day inpatient mortality (14.3% vs 17.0%, adjusted OR 0.75, p=0.003).

Impact of infant 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on serotypes in adult pneumonia.

Infant 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccination (PCV13) was introduced to the UK in 2010. Its impact on serotypes implicated in adult non-bacteraemic pneumococcal pneumonia is not known. Beginning in 2008, a 5-year prospective cohort study of adults admitted to hospital with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) was conducted. Pneumococcal serotype was established using a validated multiplex immunoassay (Bio-Plex; Bio-Rad, Hercules, CA, USA). The overall incidence for hospitalised CAP and pneumococcal CAP was 79.9 (95% CI 76.6-83.3) and 23.4 (95% CI 21.6-25.3) per 100,000 population, respectively. A decline in CAP (incidence rate ratio (IRR) per year 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.99; p=0.016) and pneumococcal CAP (IRR per year 0.84, 95% CI 0.80-0.89; p<0.001) was observed over the 5-year period of the study. Between the pre- and post-PCV13 periods of the study, the incidence of CAP due to serotypes included in the PCV7 declined by 88% (IRR 0.12, 95% CI 0.08-0.20; p<0.001), and CAP due to the additional 6 serotypes in PCV13 declined by 30% (IRR 0.70, 95% CI 0.51-0.96; p=0.024). Incidence of adult pneumococcal pneumonia declined over the last 5 years, with serotypes included in PCV13 declining post-PCV13 introduction, indicating early herd protection effects from PCV13 infant vaccination on adult non-bacteraemic disease. These effects may accrue over the coming years with implications for national pneumococcal vaccination policies in adults.

Clinical features of adults with seven-valent-conjugated-vaccine-serotype pneumococcal pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Despite the reduction in adult invasive pneumococcal disease through 'herd protection' consequent to the introduction of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccination (PCV), a significant proportion of adults continue to develop pneumococcal pneumonia caused by one of the seven serotypes included in the seven-valent conjugated pneumococcal vaccine (PCV7). The clinical features and outcomes of these adults have not been previously reported. METHODS: Adults recruited over a three year period to a large prospective cohort study of community acquired pneumonia (CAP) were investigated for pneumococcal serotypes using a validated multiplex immunoassay (Bio-plex). The baseline characteristics and outcomes of adults with PCV7-serotype CAP in comparison to those with non-PCV7-serotype CAP were established. RESULTS: Pneumococcal aetiology was identified in 415 of 1166 (35.6%) individuals, and a serotype determined in 287 (69.2%). Following exclusion of three individuals with both a PCV7 and non-PCV7 serotype, 77 of the remaining 284 (27.1%) adults had CAP due to PCV7 serotypes. Adults with PCV7-serotype CAP were older (median years (inter-quartile range) 73.3 (60.8-84.4) versus 65.0 (46.1-78.0); p=0.001) and were more likely to have a World Health Organisation performance status ≥1 (odds ratio (OR) 2.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-3.50).The presence of stroke (adjusted OR 2.84, 95% CI 1.36-5.95) and dementia (adjusted OR 3.55, 95% CI 1.26-9.94) as underlying co-morbid illnesses were independently associated with PCV7-serotype CAP; 30-day mortality was significantly greater in adults with PCV7-serotype CAP (adjusted OR 4.38, 95% CI 1.85-10.34). CONCLUSION: A significant proportion of adults continue to develop PCV7-serotype CAP in the era of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccination. These adults are more likely to have stroke and dementia as underlying co-morbid illnesses, and have a higher 30-day mortality. A combination of pneumococcal transmission factors, host factors and pneumococcal serotype specific characteristics are likely to explain these findings.

Pneumococcal serotypes in adult non-invasive and invasive pneumonia in relation to child contact and child vaccination status.

BACKGROUND: On a population level, pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in children has reduced the incidence of vaccine-type disease in all age groups, including older adults. Few individual level studies have been performed describing the pneumococcal serotypes associated with adult community acquired pneumonia (CAP) and quantifying associations with child contact and child vaccination status. METHODS: Pneumococcal serotypes were determined using a validated multiplex immunoassay (Bio-Plex) in a large prospective cohort of adults hospitalised with CAP. Child (<16 years old) contact history and child pneumococcal vaccination status were obtained from patients and public health records, respectively. RESULTS: Of 1130 participants, 329 (29.1%) reported child contact, and pneumococcal infection was identified in 410 (36.3%). Pneumococcal CAP was commoner in adults with child contact (148/329 (45.0%) vs 262/801 (32.7%); adjusted OR 1.63, CI 1.25 to 2.14; p<0.001). A serotype was determined in 263 of 410 (64.1%) adults with pneumococcal CAP; 112 (42.6%) reported child contact, 38 (33.9%) with a vaccinated child. Adults in contact with a vaccinated child were significantly less likely to have vaccine-type CAP compared with adults in contact with an unvaccinated child (6 of 38 (15.8%) vs 25 of 74 (33.8%), respectively; OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.14 to 0.99; p=0.044). CONCLUSIONS: Pneumococcal aetiology in adult CAP is independently associated with child contact and implicated serotypes are influenced by child vaccination status. This is the first study to demonstrate these associations at an individual rather than population level; it affirms that 'herd protection' from childhood vaccination extends beyond adult invasive disease to pneumococcal CAP.

Serotypes associated with the development of pneumococcal para-pneumonic effusion in adults.

Serotypes 1, 3, 7F and 19A are implicated in childhood pneumococcal para-pneumonic effusion (PPE). It is not known whether the same is true for adult PPE. A prospective cohort study was conducted over a 2-year period. Consecutive adults admitted with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) were studied. Pneumococcal serotype was identified from urine samples using a multiplex immunoassay. Of 920 patients recruited, 366 had pneumococcal CAP; 100 of these had PPE and a serotype was determined in 73 patients. Factors associated with PPE were age, pneumonia severity index score and serotype. Serotypes most associated with PPE were 1 (18 (45%) out of 40), 19A (9 (45%) out of 20) and 3 (8 (40%) out of 20). Serotypes common in childhood PPE were independently associated with adult PPE (adjusted OR 2.3; p = 0.003). Serotypes not included in the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) were more likely to be associated with PPE (OR 2.1; p = 0.024) compared with those in the vaccine. Serotypes included in PCV-13 were as likely to be associated with PPE as those that are not (OR 0.8; p = 0.301). Serotypes 1, 3, 7F and 19A are independently associated with adult PPE, a similar finding to childhood PPE. Serotype replacement following pneumococcal vaccine implementation may influence the spectrum of clinical disease.

Serotype prevalence in adults hospitalised with pneumococcal non-invasive community-acquired pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: The distribution of pneumococcal serotypes implicated in non-invasive community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in adults is currently unknown. METHODS: A prospective observational cohort study was conducted over 2 years in a large U.K. teaching hospital trust. Urine samples, in addition to routine blood and sputum samples, were obtained from consecutive adults admitted to the hospital with CAP. Pneumococcal serotype was determined from urine samples using a validated multiplex immunoassay which detects 14 serotypes. RESULTS: Of 920 patients with CAP, 366 had pneumococcal CAP; 242 had a serotype determined. Thirty-day mortality was 10% for all-cause CAP and 9.6% for pneumococcal CAP. Annual incidence of pneumococcal CAP was 36.5 per 100,000, increasing from 12.1 to 274.1 per 100,000 for ages 16-44 years and ≥85 years, respectively. The most prevalent serotypes were 14, 1, 8, 3 and 19A. Less invasive serotypes were significantly associated with increasing age (OR per increasing age group: 1.5, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.9, p<0.001) and co-morbidity (OR per increasing Charlson index group: 1.4, 95% CI 1.0 to 2.0, p=0.036), and with higher 30-day mortality (OR adjusted for age and co-morbidity: 5.5, 95% CI 1.2 to 25.3, p=0.028) compared with highly invasive serotypes. The proportion of patients in whom serotypes contained within the seven-valent childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccine was identified increased with age (15.6% for patients aged 16-44 years, 41.0% for patients aged ≥85 years; p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In adult invasive and non-invasive pneumococcal CAP, the most common serotypes implicated were 14, 1, 8, 3 and 19A. Age and co-morbidity were associated with the distribution of serotypes identified.

Clinical and laboratory features distinguishing pandemic H1N1 influenza-related pneumonia from interpandemic community-acquired pneumonia in adults.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of patients with H1N1 influenza-related pneumonia is desirable for the early instigation of antiviral agents. A study was undertaken to investigate whether adults admitted to hospital with H1N1 influenza-related pneumonia could be distinguished clinically from patients with non-H1N1 community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). METHODS: Between May 2009 and January 2010, clinical and epidemiological data of patients with confirmed H1N1 influenza infection admitted to 75 hospitals in the UK were collected by the Influenza Clinical Information Network (FLU-CIN). Adults with H1N1 influenza-related pneumonia were identified and compared with a prospective study cohort of adults with CAP hospitalised between September 2008 and June 2010, excluding those admitted during the period of the pandemic. RESULTS: Of 1046 adults with confirmed H1N1 influenza infection in the FLU-CIN cohort, 254 (25%) had H1N1 influenza-related pneumonia on admission to hospital. In-hospital mortality of these patients was 11.4% compared with 14.0% in patients with inter-pandemic CAP (n=648). A multivariate logistic regression model was generated by assigning one point for each of five clinical criteria: age ≤ 65 years, mental orientation, temperature ≥ 38 °C, leucocyte count ≤ 12 × 10(9)/l and bilateral radiographic consolidation. A score of 4 or 5 predicted H1N1 influenza-related pneumonia with a positive likelihood ratio of 9.0. A score of 0 or 1 had a positive likelihood ratio of 75.7 for excluding it. CONCLUSION: There are substantial clinical differences between H1N1 influenza-related pneumonia and inter-pandemic CAP. A model based on five simple clinical criteria enables the early identification of adults admitted with H1N1 influenza-related pneumonia.

CURB-65 pneumonia severity assessment adapted for electronic decision support.

BACKGROUND: Accurate severity assessment is crucial to the initial management of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). The CURB-65 (confusion, uremia, respiratory rate, BP, age ≥ 65 years) score contains data that are entered routinely in electronic medical records and are, thus, electronically calculable. The aim of this study was to determine whether an electronically generated severity estimate using CURB-65 elements as continuous and weighted variables better predicts 30-day mortality than the traditional CURB-65. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study at a US university-affiliated community teaching hospital, we identified 2,069 patients aged 18 years or older with CAP confirmed by radiographic findings in the ED. CURB-65 elements were extracted from the electronic medical record, and 30-day mortality was identified with the Utah Population Database. Performance of a severity prediction model using continuous and weighted CURB-65 variables was compared with the traditional CURB-65 in the US derivation population and validated in the original 1,048 patients from the CURB-65 international derivation study. RESULTS: The traditional, binary CURB-65 score predicted mortality in the US cohort with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.82. Our severity prediction model generated from continuous, weighted CURB-65 elements was superior to the traditional CURB-65, with an out-of-bag AUC of 0.86 (P < .001). This finding was validated in the international database, with an AUC of 0.85 for the electronic model compared with 0.80 for the traditional CURB-65 (P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: Using CURB-65 elements as continuous and weighted data improved prediction of 30-day mortality and could be used as a real-time, electronic decision support tool or to adjust outcomes by severity when comparing processes of care.

What is the role of pulse oximetry in the assessment of patients with community-acquired pneumonia in primary care?

INTRODUCTION: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common presenting condition in primary care. Assessment of oxygenation status using pulse oximetry is increasingly available, but its precise role in disease severity assessment is unknown. AIMS: To inform the use of pulse oximetry in patients with CAP, including the utility of different oxygenation thresholds, patient subgroups, and interaction with existing severity scores. METHODS: A prospective cohort study of adults with CAP admitted to a UK teaching hospital trust. Oxygen saturations (SpO2) and the fraction of inspired oxygen were recorded on admission. The value of different SpO2 thresholds (< 88%, ≤ 90%, ≤ 92%, and < 95%) in predicting 30-day mortality and critical care admission was analysed. RESULTS: 467 patients had SpO2 measured on room air. Admission SpO2 ≤ 90% was observed in 28% of patients and had reasonable specificity (76%) for 30-day mortality or critical care admission, but low sensitivity (46%). Specificity was particularly good for adults <50 years of age (90%) or those with asthma (92.3%). CONCLUSION: SpO2 ≤ 90% has good specificity but low sensitivity for adverse outcomes in CAP. It complements rather than replaces clinical severity scoring.

The impact of an early chest radiograph on outcome in patients hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia.

Patients admitted to UK hospitals with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) require a chest radiograph for diagnostic purposes and to look for complications. This study investigated the association between a chest radiograph performed early in the process of care and clinical outcomes. Consecutive adults admitted with CAP to a large UK teaching hospital trust over a nine-month period were prospectively studied (n = 461). A time to first radiograph of < 4 hours was associated with a significantly shorter median length of hospital stay (LOS) compared with > or = 4 hours (5.75 days versus 7.13 days, p < 0.01). Antibiotics were administered after the radiograph in 89.8% of patients with a time to first radiograph < 4 hours compared with 40.7% of patients with time to first radiograph of > or = 4 hours (odds ratio 12.8, p < 0.001). A chest radiograph performed within four hours of hospital admission for CAP is significantly associated with a shorter hospital LOS and with antibiotic use after chest radiography.